On July 20th, I cautioned that Apple need new Blockbuster product every two or three years to maintain the growth rate. It is very unlikely. In long term I am not too keen on Apply. However, in short term, if the stock trades below 365, the stock should be bought for a trade.
I have been bullish on Intel over 2 years. The stock is approaching $25. I will either sell a covered call @25 or sell the stock.
The market is full of hope about Europe. I will be skeptical about it. If ECB can do what FED is doing (printing 2 trillion), all the problem will be gone in short term. But Germany is not going to allow this to happen and I applaud its decision.
Wednesday, October 19, 2011
Friday, October 7, 2011
Where is the money for EU bank bailout
The market is very excited about the prospect that EU will stabilize the banking system in Europe. Eventually they do not have a choice. However, the question is where the money would come from. Most European countries. credit rating have been downgraded, except Germany and France (plus a few Scandinavia countries). France is in no position to inject large sum of money without jeopardizing its own credit rating. So at the end of day, Germany is going to put up the money, whether it is a guarantee and leveraging. In order to satisfy its voters, Merkel will demand harsh conditions for the bailout. I won't be surprised to see some banks in Europe to lose big in their equity. Non-secure creditors may also have some risks. I have some doubts on orderly restructure of Greek debt.
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