prediction for 2010 (2)

The following events may happen (50% probability), you may prepare for it.
1. Middle east tension escalates (especial Iran and Israel)
2. After 2 calm seasons, the weather may not be as calm during the hurricane season which is not good for insurance companies.
3. Chinese real estate market may start to cool down which will have a chill effect on metal consumptions.
4. The growth in BRIC countries may slower than expected.
5. A major downgrade of sovereign credit to a major country (U.K.? Japan? Russia?)